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St. Alban's Bay - Did SolarBee circulators fail?

Science Office Response

Perspective on the 2007 pilot-study of SolarBee Long-Distance Circulation (LDC) to inhibit harmful algal blooms (HABs) in St. Albans Bay, Lake Champlain (Vermont)

Overview. A pilot study of SolarBee solar-powered, LDC technology to inhibit HABs in the north end of St. Albans Bay, Lake Champlain (Vermont) was conducted during May to August, 2007. Both SolarBee and the Vermont Agency of Natural Resources (VANR) issued reports on the study results. Different interpretations of the data led to diametrically opposed conclusions in those reports. The SolarBee report concluded “We believe the data unequivocally demonstrate beneficial impacts….”, whereas the VNAR report concluded “…there was no evidence that the SolarBees in St. Albans Bay reduced algal concentrations, improved water clarity, or inhibited blue-green algae in the bay.” SolarBee acknowledges that the interpretation of scientific data can be complex, and that well- intentioned individuals can reach different conclusions. We also believe that issues concerning study design and control over its development, and vested interests in methodologies used for HAB prevention, may impact the conclusions reached by those individuals. Those issues are briefly discussed below. SolarBee strongly supports the scientific peer-review process as a means for reaching unbiased conclusions concerning scientific studies. Therefore, we call for the VANR to join SolarBee in obtaining reports on the pilot study results from a panel of three independent and mutually agreed upon experts in the field of freshwater HABs. A majority of the panel would likely reach one of three conclusions: 1) LDC inhibited HABs; 2) LDC did not inhibit HABs, or; 3) the study design was insufficient for reaching a definitive conclusion. We agree to accept the panel’s opinion, and expect the VANR to do likewise.

Study Design and Its Control. The study design, described in the Monitoring Workplan (May 4, 2007), was developed by VNAR. SolarBee was given an opportunity to comment on a draft Workplan, but most of our comments were not incorporated into the final Workplan. The Workplan did not address the need to determine the time period, number of units or unit spacing needed for the ecological approach of LDC to control HABs given the unique characteristics of the bay. Furthermore, we believe that the data analysis plan was fundamentally flawed due to the following considerations.

Three watersheds with high phosphorus and other nutrient levels drain into the northern shore of St. Albans Bay. HABs apparently initiate along the northern wetlands and shore due to high nutrient levels and vertically unmixed water. The Workplan states that phosphorus, algal biomass and water clarity typically have a very strong horizontal, north-south gradient in summer months, implying that statistical analyses would show significantly higher nutrient and algal-biomass levels in waters along the northern shore than in areas to the south. The Workplan called for LDC unit deployment along the northern shore of the bay. The Workplan’s data analysis plan states that significantly lower algal-biomass (chlorophyll-a) and higher water clarity levels (Secchi depths) must be observed along the northern shore, within the areas of LDC influence (treated zone – 3 congruent, circular areas of 35 acres each), than at points south for an effect of LDC on HAB inhibition to be indicated. These criteria implicitly assume that the baseline conditions are typically uniform within the bay, an assumption that is inconsistent with the statement that a very strong horizontal, north-south gradient typically exists. Therefore, the observation of no statistically significant difference in algal-biomass or water clarity levels between the northern treated zone and points south can be interpreted to indicate LDC inhibited HABs rather than failed to do so, particularly during a summer when overall algal biomass levels were much lower in the bay than in previous years.

The LDC HAB inhibition interpretation is supported by a finer-scale analysis of the data. Both reports show that algal biomass was higher and water clarity was lower in the northern portion of the treated zone than in its southern portion. Because LDC can not be expected to prevent algal cells from washing into the bay from the northern wetlands, or to completely inhibit cell growth and division in the northern area of high nutrient input, it is not unexpected that algal biomass and water clarity would be worse in the northern portion of the treated zone than its southern portion. Improvements seen in the southern portion of the treated zone and at points farther south may indicate that LDC inhibited HABs as the northern input waters moved southward.

Vested Interests in HAB Prevention Methodologies. Neither SolarBee nor the VANR can be viewed as unbiased parties whose pilot-study report writers are free of all potential conflicts of interest. SolarBee designs and manufactures LDC technology that we believe provides the most effective, environmentally benign, sustainable and low-cost solution for HAB prevention. The first author of the VANR report, Eric Smeltzer, wrote his masters thesis on the chemical approach of alum application to reduce phosphorus levels in the water column and inhibit HAB occurrence. During the pilot study and report preparation period, the VANR continued consultations with Dr. Ken Wagner, ENSR, Inc., on alum applications in the bay and sought funding for a multi-million dollar alum project. Although Mr. Smeltzer recently stated that there hasn't been enough time to judge the effectiveness of his 2004 Clean and Clear multi-million dollar watershed-management program to reduce phosphorus inputs and inhibit HABs, he was very quick to judge the efficacy of the ecological and low-cost LDC approach. After leading a Federal interagency effort to address freshwater HABs, I left the US EPA to join SolarBee because I believe LDC is the best solution for HAB prevention, and chemical/alum applications for HAB control are detrimental to the aquatic environment, often ineffective for HAB prevention particularly in areas having high phosphorus input levels, usually require reapplication every few years and are very expensive over the long term. Therefore, a panel of independent experts is needed to obtain an unbiased opinion on the outcome of the pilot study. We hope the VANR will join us in this effort.

H Kenneth Hudnell, PhD
Director of Science, SolarBee Inc.

Read the original report here.
Read the SolarBee Response here.

 
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